The Ghost of Kyoto Visits Cancún – NYTimes.com
December 1, 2010 § Leave a comment
In an interview with a Bloomberg reporter on Tuesday, Kuni Shimada, the special adviser to Japan’s environment minister, stated the issue with crystal clarity:
“Without the active participation of the two biggest emitters, namely China and the United States, it’s not a global effort,” said Shimada, who was formerly Japan’s lead negotiator at the talks. “Whatever happens, under any kind of conditions we do not accept a second commitment period.”
For industrialized countries and China, the demand for all to step forward on gas restrictions in any new agreement is as much about competitiveness as climatology. For years, it’s been clear that real-time economic realities still trump emerging climate concerns.
The problem is, economic scenarios of competition and failure are here and now, wheras clinate scenarios aree not only not yet present (can quibble here), but acting on them interferes with acting on the economic scenarios. Until climate folk are actively engaged in multi dimensional scenarios (climate and econology and population and energy and persoanl ahnging the financial structures, and quality of life, we won’tget very far.